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Where does profit come from when Betfair trading?

People often ask me, where does the profit come from when you’re trading? How does it magically appear, who is actually losing if I’m winning?

To answer that question. I’m going to follow a trade I filmed a few years ago. I came across it recently and it is an excellent example of this. This trade illustrates in the way profits are achieved when you are Betfair trading and I hope this can help you understand a little better, as I often get questions about the ins and outs of how profits are generated.

Where do you start?

Above is the chart of the favourite on this particular race.

The chart is showing you that the favourite started at 3.50 when the market opened early. You see this changed significantly as it got closer to the start of the race which is shown on the graph as about two-thirds of the way across the chart, which would have been the last 10 or 15 minutes before the race begins.

So up until the last 10 to 15 minutes, effectively everybody thought this horse had a 1 in 3 chance of winning. If you want to calculate out the probabilities, you have a number of ways of doing that. I’ll go through the calculation to show you how the graph and the odds correlate to the chance of winning which will help you reinforce what I am about to explain.

So if the odds on the horse are at 3 and we calculate 1 divided by 3. By doing that we get: –

1 ➗ 3 = 0.333333

Here you can see it comes up with 0.33 chance so if we convert that to a percentage, it’s saying that the horse has a 33% chance of winning the race.

So when the price was backed in the early market, which went down to 3. Everybody said, the chance of this horse winning is 33%.

A strange shift in market…

But then you can see we had this dramatic drift in the market!

I was watching this market and the activity of this course and there wasn’t anything particularly stunning that caused the price in this horse to go out dramatically. When you see things like this, you sort of think, well, that’s a bit crazy!

Green arrow showing this dramatic drift

So if we if we do the same calculation with the new price:

1 ➗ 5 = 0.2

You can see it said there was only 0.2 or a 20% (if you multiply that by 100 to get the %) chance of this horse winning the race. Basically the odds of this horse or the chance of this horse winning this race shifted by 13.3% in this very short period of time.

For this to happen, you could have possibly thought that something mysterious had happened to the horse, it almost doesn’t make any sense!

But actually, this presents you with two opportunities in terms of where the market is.

Now for you to lay this horse at 3.00, a liability would have been significantly lower than if we laid this horse at 5.00. In fact, now there’s a massive value gap of 13.3%.

It makes no sense that the market should go, ‘oh, this horse has got quite a good chance. Wait, no, it doesn’t. Well, actually, yes!’ It just doesn’t make any sense whatsoever. One of these prices has to be wrong!

How is the chart showing?

When looking at this chart it is easy to conclude that there must have been something wrong with the market’s judgement and it could have been driven by any number of factors. You can see their indecisiveness through the trough in the chart (which the green arrow points to) or the peak (which the pink arrow points to).

The fact is, one of these two things (the trough or the peak) has to be wrong. By trading this rampant indecision you could make a profit, either from trying to pick off value at either extreme or by trading it to profit regardless of who goes on to win the race.

Profting regardless of who goes on to win is, obviously, a fantastic benefit of betting exchanges!

So how do we take advantage of this?

Let’s say you saw the price at 3 and you thought, well, I’m not going to back it at 3.00, but I could back it at 5.00. You can actually put your order in the market and wait for the price to reach 5.00 where it will get taken and you would have got fantastic value. You will make money in the long term if you can back something at 5.00 that should be available at 3.00.

But in fact, you could have traded out of that initial position at some point in the market and you could have still guaranteed yourself a profit, even if you weren’t looking for a particular strategy, making a nice trade. However, what I’m trying to illustrate to you here is that one of these two points definitely has to have been wrong.

You can see that there were a number of opportunities gere to be able to actively trade that or to get value from your bet. This is something you can’t do that with a traditional bookmaker and something you can only really do on a betting exchange.

When you look at this, it also explains where the money comes from.

Let us say that there was £100,000 bet on this horse – we will simplify this dramatically – but let’s say £50,000 was bet at 3 and £50,000 was bet at 5, then obviously there’s a 13% difference of £50,000.

So let’s do the Math:

£50,000 ✖ 0.13 = £6,500

So we’ve got a £6,500 differential between those two points, effectively you’re saying that there’s been a 13% shift in the book at that particular point in time.

How does this show where profit comes from?

Now this is fundamentally where the profit comes from when you’re trading, the profit comes from other people’s indecision, people’s inability to understand what price they should be backing out, or perhaps they’ve taken a worse price than they could have got a few minutes later.

The wonderful thing about pursuing a strategy that exploits this is that whether you were backing or laying, you would have backed up at the peak or laid at the trough, you would have got a much better price than the average price over the course of this entire market.

If you were trading this market, this would have been a nice opportunity for you.

It’s worth noting that it’s basically impossible for a market to do two things:

  1. It’s impossible for the price of a horse to drift endlessly in a market…
  2. It’s impossible for the price supposed to come in endlessly…

Now that’s where the trading opportunity comes from, because very often it will revert to a more sensible price. So whatever the reason behind the drift and then the dramatic collapse back in price, that’s where opportunity comes from.

If you’re a traditional backer in the market, you can always ask for price that doesn’t exist because you will get matched at that higher price. If you’re a layer, you’ve got the opportunity to lay at low prices even if the price is coming in dramatically, you’ll probably get an opportunity to grab a decent price.

Additionally, if you’re trading, the indecision within this market presents the opportunity. That’s where the money is in the market.

Where is the best place to get a profit?

The way I would summarise trading is you’re effectively selling uncertainty and volatility and this is important to remember.

The winner is on the peak?

The perfect point in this market would have been to get in at the top of the peak, but it didn’t matter if you didn’t get in there, you could have got in at some other point within the market and waited for it to come back down to more reasonable odds.

Why would you do that?

We know that the market can’t permanently go in one direction or the other and that the market tends to meander around. If people were laying this horse at 3 was that was fantastic, but laying it at 5 isn’t such a good decision. So eventually people will stop laying it and the price will reverse.

Relying on indecisiveness for profit

The same situation occurs on backers because if they’re backing it at 5 then that’s a great price. Obviously, as the price comes down (shown through the pink arrow), then backers will start to weaken within the market when they realise that they’re just not getting as good a price as perhaps they had wished for.

Looking through those scenarios and explaining where the money comes from when you’re trading it, should have provided you with a better understanding as to where profit comes from.

Fundamentally, it’s through volatility that profits are made. People either back or lay at prices that contrast dramatically from the average price, allowing for traders to find these great opportunities for profit.

It’s here where the money comes from if you’ve made a profit while trading and better than that. It’s something you can quantify.

The post Where does profit come from when Betfair trading? appeared first on Betfair trading blog | Expert advice from Professional Betfair trade.

Take your Betfair Automation to the next level

Automated trading can save you time and money or find and execute trades before you had even seen it manually. If you are looking to fully automate your Betfair trading, then Bet Angel’s Advanced Automation gives you all the options and tools you could ever need and what’s more, this requires no excel or programming experience.

It’s really easy to automate your favoured Betfair trading or betting strategy and creating your own automated betting bot is now easily within reach!

Take your Betfair trading automation

Once you get above some standard automation, you will learn that the Automation in Bet Angel allows you to do anything from triggering a simple back or lay at a specified time, right through to some really clever rules requiring some complex logic. It even has the ability to trigger a rule in one market based on several conditions being satisfied in multiple other markets.

There are plenty of blogs detailing putting together more complex and connected automation files and there are 100s of ready-made rules files you can download from the Bet Angel forum.

Simple yet Powerfull

The purpose of this blog is to show you an example of how you can use just a single rule within in automation file but still apply that file to ALL the days markets, and with just a few carefully selected conditions the rule will filter out and trigger on only the markets types you require it to target.

There are several very useful conditions in Bet Angels Advanced Automation which can be used, one of the most flexible particularly for racing traders and the one were focusing on here is the ‘Text Comparison’ condition.

Put simply this is used to filter markets name by text, allowing you to easily target a rule to specific courses and race types etc, ie, H’cap, Listed, Grade races, you could also combine that with an other condition like the’ Race Distance’ condition and you can really begin to pinpoint the races you want your rule to hone in on.

Greyhound markets are very well suited to automation largely due to there being around a 100 taking place each day in the UK alone, a popular betting and trading strategy among Greyhound automation traders is to look for biases, this could be when the fav is running from specific traps at specific courses and even in specific grade races.

In this example lets assume you’ve looked at some historic greyhound stats and have found what appears to be a bias when the fav of certain graded races is running from trap 5 and at specific tracks, this might appear complex to set up but in fact its remarkably simple using Bet Angels Advanced Automation.

Creating a Rule using ‘text comparison’

On the first part of the Rules Editor (the General Tab) we can select the rule type, ie, place a back bet, the time its to trigger and the selection.

In Greyhound markets the trap number a dog is running from always correlates to the Betfair row number, so we can apply the rule to Betfair Row 5 knowing that will be the dog in Trap 5

Moving onto the Parameters tab you can set you stake, and the price you want the bet placing at, you can also configure any offset betting, fill/kill commands etc.

Next we move onto the Conditions tab, the first condition is to tell the rule to trigger only if the dog in trap 5 is the fav, to do this we can use a ‘Relative Odds Condition’ and test the back price of this selection is less than the 2nd fav.

Now we need a ‘Text Comparison condition’, with this we can tell the rule to only trigger if the text we add appears in the market title, so here we can begin creating a track filter.

NB, not matter which sport you are applying a rule to its important to check how text/wording appears in the market titles, for Greyhound markets Betfair always use abbreviation for the track name and its these you need to enter (one per line), in the image below I’m telling this rule to only trigger if the market name contains; Bell Vue, Crayford, Monmouth, Nottingham, Peterbrough, Romford, Sunderland and Swindon.

Now we need another ‘Text Comparison condition’ this time to filter the race type the rule is to trigger on, here ive used the condition slightly different and told the rule NOT to trigger if the race is a ‘B’ grade or any ‘A’ Grade races between the grades A7 and A11.

And that’s it done, as simple as that!, now just click the ‘Disc+’ icon at the top of the window to give the automation file a name and save it.

Using the Rules File

You have now created a rule that with one click can be applied to ALL the Greyhound markets each day, and it will only trigger on the Fav if it’s running from trap 5 at Bell Vue, Crayford, Monmouth, Nottingham, Peterbrough, Romford, Sunderland and Swindon and also the race grade is NOT a ‘B’ grade or ‘A’ grade between 7-11.

The quickest way to add the days greyhound markets to Guardian is to enable the ‘Sidebar’ in Guardian and on the dedicated ‘Racing’ tab tick the ‘UK Greyhound Markets’ box.

Then from the ‘Automation’ tab at the top of Guardian click on the ‘Automation’ tab then select the rules file you want to use and finally the ‘Apply Rules File to all Markets’ button.

If you would like to download a full list of abbvaitions used for Greyhound track names I’ve shared them on this post in in Bet Angel forum which also contains a link to a ready-made rules file similar to the one detailed above.

As you’ll be able to see this one condition can be used in so many ways to really filter down to specfic levels of which markets a rule can trigger on, and remember there’s nothing to stop you adding further rules to the same automation file using the ‘Text Comparison’ condition againg to filter for different information from the market titles – or you could add/use any of the other 20+ conditions avaliable to you.

The post Take your Betfair Automation to the next level appeared first on Betfair trading blog | Expert advice from Professional Betfair trade.

Betfair trading – The Perfect Golf Trade!

I want to tell you a story about the perfect golf

Curiously, the first ever bet I placed on the Betfair exchange, was on Golf. Pretty much since that day Betfair trading Golf markets has been part of the mix of markets I’m active on.

Golf markets on Betfair are characterised by big fields and on the winner market, big markets. A lot of golf betting systems rely on picking individuals who stand to win the coveted green jacket at Augusta. In traditional betting markets picking somebody to finish in the top ten is also popular. But, of course, you have many Betfair trading strategies that you can deploy on a Golf tournament.

Now and again you can get a ‘perfect trade’ and this happened fairly recently. Let’s learn how this happened, so if it happens again you can hopefully catch it!

So you must have seen me discuss the US Masters many times across all my platforms. Whether it is these blog posts or my YouTube videos. The reason that I love this particular tournament is a simple reason: it’s played on the same course year after year.

This gives you a really good idea of how the course is likely to play, you know where those easy holes are and you know where the hard holes are. That obviously brings you huge advantages when trading, but it’s important to note that even though the holes stay the same, they can bring those advantages and challenge depending on the day.

Know when it happens, not just where it happens

With a four day tournament, the first two days are played in a sort of in random order and then the field is cut. They then change the playing order of the players on days three and four, over the weekend, because they want the tournament to end so that the winner is coming up the fairway very close to the end of the tournament.

This brings up opportunities on days one and two. Imagine there’s an early leader in the clubhouse with another good player coming round to an easier part making it likely that they will pick up shots. Then of course, if they pick up those shots, the price on the leader in the clubhouse is going to drift and vice versa. So this is one way to trade it.

However, when you’re at the weekend at a golf tournament, then all of the players are going out in reverse order. The worst players get out early in the morning, finishing the course early on. While, the best players finish last and come up to the 18th to collect their prize.

How did this perfect trade come about?

Before I explain, the first thing to note on all of these, is the gap between the leader and the peopel chasing, a fair indicator of who’s likely to be in contention.

If we look at the stats, 90% of winners are within five shots of the leader at Augusta. We can also see a similar number on day two, but obviously it compacts a little bit. Then when you get to day three, you’re really looking at sort of three or four shots from the lead and it gives you the opportunity to chase down and win the tournament.

Obviously, the higher up you are then that the better. So when there was no deficit, in other words, you were on the leader, about 55% of players go and win it on the last day when they are the leader. About 14% are within a shot of the leader and then it’s about 10% for two and three shots.

So the situation we had in Augusta in 2016 was that Danny Willett was three shots behind the leader which was Jordan Spieth. Spieth had a shot at winning it if he didn’t make too many mistakes, but as with all things, it’s actually quite difficult to be consistent, as any golfer will tell you.

As a consequence, you’re always in with a shot of winning if there’s a problem with whoever’s in the lead. Let’s say they make a couple of bad shots or they send the ball into the water. Suddenly there’s a whole bunch of people in contention!

If we look back to the tournament you can see that Danny Willett was out before Jordan Spieth. Spieth was basically in control of everything in terms of seeing all of the people going in front of him. He knew what he had to do in order to stay in contention for the green jacket at the end of the tournament along with a healthy $1.8 million dollars!

So the interesting thing about Willett is that he was playing very consistently all the way through, picking up shots here and there. By picking up the odd birdie throughout the tournament he actually ended up on the final day completing a round at five under, which is a pretty good round at Augusta.

His consistency meant he didn’t drop a shot at a single hole, was just playing percentage golf and doing what he could to put himself into contention.

On the other hand, Jordan Spieth was three shots in front where he could probably win the tournament with that. However he realised that he would require one or two shots extra to be able to definitively clinch the championship.

So Willett’s was off in front and Spieth was following. As Willett started to climb up the leaderboard there were other players like Lee Westwood who were creeping up to the top of the leaderboard as well.

This put a little bit of pressure on Jordan Spieth, but Spieth is a good player. In fact, as we came to the turn (‘the turn’ for non golfers is when you reach nine holes, you basically go out in nine and then back in nine, so they call that the turn) he picks up a shot on the second. This is not unusual at Augusta, because that is one of the easier holes where you would expect to pick up a shot.

The second hole at Augusta

He then he dropped on the fifth, but as he reached the six, he went, birdie, birdie, birdie, birdie..

He got four birdies in a row, which was phenomenal! So he went through the turn with a birdie on the ninth, but at that particular point the ninth hole is the last hole that could be considered easy to reach a par.

When you get into the 10th, 11th and 12th, those are much harder holes, the hardest ones in the course. In fact, if you look at holes four to six, they’re also quite hard as well so he did pretty well to get through that and pick up a shot over those four.

After all we’re only human, mistakes happen…

Then he gets to the famous Amen corner at Augusta. If you know how the course plays, this corner is generally considered to be one of the harder parts of the course, arriving there five under. He then tees up his shot to then mess it all up by dropping a shot on the 11th.

Amen corner at Augusta

When he turns up at the 12th, he realises that Willett has gone through and is plain sailing. Spieth is still five under for the entire tournament, but people are getting a little bit closer to him.

Anybody who watches the Masters as a golfer knows what the 12th is like. It’s a par three and you have to tee off over a bit of water to land on a green that’s incredibly long and thin. If you’re short, you end up in the water, if you’re long you end up in a bunker.

So it’s a bit of a nightmare!

Unfortunately, Spieth teed off and sent his ball into the water. Immediately you’ve got a serious problem there because you’re going to have to place your ball and and play three off the tee.

So he did that and he was going to have to take a bogey or perhaps a double bogey. But on his second shot, he got underneath it and fell short ending up in the water again to gasps from the surrounding crowds.

By this particular point, all of a sudden he’s in real trouble and he needs to play the next shot reasonably well. So he plays the next shot and sends it long and into the bunker!

Now, prior to playing hole twelve, his price has basically moved to 1.09 and plenty of money matched at 1.10. After, it was somewhat higher!

How to trade this scenario?

A piece of advice that I often give, especially where you’ve got a player in front that has already completed those holes successfully. Is that if you have got a player coming behind him that has to go through that those difficult holes, is that sometimes it is worth a little lay on those guys. This is based on the idea that if they drop a shot then odds are going to spike up as the other player comes into play for a higher position in the tournament.

So naturally, with Spieth at 1.09, he’s five-under and still three shots in front of everybody else with six holes to play, that price was fairly reasonable for him at that particular point. The anticipation with this trade is that maybe he would bogey or perhaps double bogey hole which would send his price out a little bit.

However, in fact, he ended up carding a seven on the twelfth, which was a complete disaster because he went from five under to one over. Suddenly Willett, a few holes ahead, became the tournament leader!

Now realising this, you can could anticipate that if Danny Willett could just hold it together to win then Spieth would have to perform a miracle to change that.

Especially a tough venture even with the potential to drop a shot at the last three holes at Augusta, which he did do, dropping a shot on the seventeenth. It was a bit of a task for Speith to be able to turn things around in those final few holes.

Framing the trading opportunity

Firstly the set up was good…

The price on Spieth was very low and the opportunity to lay him came around to that cluster of holes where potentially he had the opportunity to drop a shot and if he would have dropped, you would have got a little bit of a gain out of that.

But in fact, on this particular occasion, everything lined up perfectly and he completely messed up, which is not unknown at Augusta. There have been these occasions before, especially when Nick Faldo won at Augusta, he was the benefactor of that sort of thing and we’ve seen this happen before throughout the years.

Spieth’s price started shooting out from 1.09 because he made such an unbelievable hash of it!

For anybody that was laying Spieth at 1.09, 1.10 or around that area, it just became a straight lay because the price moved so far that. even with hedging, you would have got the majority of your profit anyway.

Factors at play…

We had the order of the card and seeing Willett go through, as well being only three from the lead at any one particular point or another meant it only needed a little mistake from Spieth while playing through those harder holes to be able to bring that trade around.

If you look at the set up of it, although it is easy to look at things retrospectively, it was pretty much the perfect setup.

If you’re looking at holes 4 to 8 and then again, at holes 10 to 12, then 16 to 18. These are holes where traditionally players have drop shots repeatedly and there are areas in between those where they do or they are more likely to gain shots.

It’s around these periods that you want to get active and involved in the market. With players in front of him having already gone through that, it was a good opportunity to lay Spieth at very, very low odds.

What reveals itself from this? The perfect golf trade!

That’s, simply put, the almost the perfect trade that you could possibly do in golf. If you attempt to do this at other other times, you have to factor in what’s happening elsewhere on the golf course and who’s doing what and when.

But on this particular occasion, as he came around to the harder part of the course, getting in a low lay on Spieth was quite clearly an option.

Why?

Because there wouldn’t have had many downsides and if he did make a mistake, you would have huge upside. That is, in fact, what happened, much to the delight of Danny Willett, who became the first British player to win at Augusta for some time.

This example is a great way of illustrating this sort of activity that seems to only happen in a golf tournament. Using the knowledge we have learnt from this 2016 example allows us to see how we can use our knowledge of the course and how players react to certain holes to our advantage.

Golf tournaments can produce some wonderful opportunities and finger crossed that we see some more this year!

The post Betfair trading – The Perfect Golf Trade! appeared first on Betfair trading blog | Expert advice from Professional Betfair trade.

My TOP 5 betting & trading tips for the US Masters!

The US Masters has joined the long list of sporting events this year that have been postponed because of the Coronavirus pandemic, but luckily for us, it has been moved to 12th November through to Sunday 15th November and looks to be equally as promising as usual.

If you want to do some Betfair trading or betting at this year’s US Masters, then this blog post is perfect for picking up tips and tricks to securing a successful trade in this high profile golf tournament. It’s bound to be even more high profile this year, given Tiger Woods win last year.

Golf is an unusual sport to trade because you have very large fields. You typically find that the US Masters has a field size of probably around 80 or so players, but when you get to the large golf tournaments, you could have 140 to 150 players in those particular tournaments.

Most of the major golf tournaments have a lot of matched betting turnover and liquidity on the Betfair exchange. You will find huge amounts of money waiting to be matched in the pre-off trading period of these types of Betfair markets. This is why I tend to trade majors, I can do something on a decent scale. That’s not possible on the smaller Golf tournaments.

When betting or trading on a Golf major it’s important to understand that on these betting exchange markets, you could probably be looking at markets that are going to turn over many millions before a golf ball has been struck. However, most of the activity is in play because the tournaments themselves can last over four days. So the total amount matched is HUGE!

“On March 13, we announced the postponement of the Masters Tournament…based upon the risks associated with the Coronavirus COVID-19… In collaboration with the leading organizations in golf, Augusta National Golf Club has identified November 9-15 as the intended dates to host the 2020 Masters.” –Statement from Fred Ridley, Chairman of Augusta National Golf Club : Source – www.masters.com

So what are my top five tips for trading golf?

Whatever Betfair trading strategies you favour, the huge amount of money being matched on a Golf Major will give you many chances to lock in a profit. It could be that you trade small profits and add to that during the tournament itself. But there is no reason why you couldn’t do a longer-term trade before the cut, or on the deciding two days when the price movement is at it’s most extreme in a closely fought contest.

There are many ways to participate in a major Golf tournament, but if you push me to give you some tips, here are my top five!

Par 5 – tip number 5!

A long par 5!

Making sure you take a very conscious decision about how long you’re going to hold your position for and how you are going to take that position, is very important. So before you attempt to do something in a golf tournament, make sure that you take that into account.

You also tend to find that the spread, the difference between the back and the lay prices on a golf tournament, will increase over a period of time. So if you’re going to take an active position within the market, do it just before the golf tournament is about to start to get this shorter spread and the best price on that particular tournament.

Inplay spreads can widen, so take care to keep an eye on the back and lay book percentage. When that’s low, you can get in and out of the market without losing too much to the other side of the book. The spreads can very large on large field sports.

Here’s your tricky par 4 – Tip number 4!

Don’t forget this or you’ll end up in the bunker!

In golf tournaments the field sizes can be absolutely huge! You’ll find at some tournaments, depending upon the setup of the tournament, that they are bigger than others, but typically the big majors will have 140 players plus in each of them.

So that makes picking a winner at a golf tournament incredibly hard… So why not pick more than one winner?

Golf tournaments can have up to 150 players! But don’t let that worry you… [x]

I know it may sound a bit crazy, but in fact, if fire up your Betfair trading software and use a method such as Dutching to capture value across a range of players, that gives you a much better chance of being able to pick one of the winners.

Another element to consider in golf is that you have a cut. In golf they cut these large fields down to a much smaller one at the weekends so the top players remain to play at the weekend. What you often find is if you Dutch a range of players you’ll very often find that the price will contract significantly if it looks like they’re going to make the cut and you can trade out at that point.

Here’s a short Par 3 – Tip number 3!

Might be a glorious day here, but that may not always be the case during a golf tournament!

When there are golf tournaments around, one of the things that I do is watch the weather because weather is critically important in a golf tournament. When you get a change of weather, and especially because they’ve played over such a long period of time, that can significantly affect the scoring chances of individual players.

So if you look at the tee times, you see when players are coming out and you look at the weather, that can tell you if some of the difficult holes are going to become impossible or some of the easier holes are going to become a little bit easier.

If you watch the weather it allows you to have a good indication of the potential for a player’s performance at different points throughout the day as well as the tournament.

Here is your birdie, a 2 on a Par 3 – Tip Number 2!

It’s always great to do better then expected, make sure you do your research!

So a key part to trading golf is to understand the actual golf course itself. As regular golfers will know, different courses have different characteristics. Some holes are easy to play, some holes are much harder. This concept is the same at all of these tournaments.

Getting an understanding of which of these holes, harder or easier, will allow you to calculate when a player is going in to a harder part of the course or is likely to pick up the odd birdie or two and see his price contract. So understanding the course will allow you to get a much better handle on where the likely odds movements are going to be.

The way to do that is to look at the course card because the stroke index will give you a clue as to which are the hardest and the easiest holes. Equally, there’s also tons of information available on the websites of these specific tournaments about how the course is going to play.

So do your research figure out where the hardest and easiest holes are and you can position yourself ahead of those particular points within the market.

And your hole in one tip is… Tip number 1!

Can you get that perfect golf trade?

So when we go into the last two days of the tournament, it will trade very differently from the first two days. In the first two days, all of the pairings are set up and the players play with a variety of different types of opponents.

But as we enter those last two days, then we end up in a situation where the players that are most likely to win the tournament will be playing last overall. Therefore, it’s quite competitive at that particular point in time.

So we can actually bring all of the characteristics we’ve talked about together to create the perfect golf trade. And in fact, I have done a video on this, so if you want to watch a fuller explanation of how this trade can occur click on the link at the end of the blog post!

As we head into that last day, you’re going to have two or three pairings that are all fighting for the title (hopefully) and if you get that situation that develops, then it’s quite possible that you can easily lay one of the leaders as they pass through some of the harder or easier parts of the course.

That will allow you to anticipate quite clearly what’s going to happen to the odds if they pick up or drop a shot at any one particular point, then you can back or lay appropriately.

A great trade from the 2016 US Masters

So in short, what are the best tips for trading tips for the US Master?

  • Think about the pairings that are set up
  • Think about the tee times
  • Think about trading or betting on more than one selection
  • Think about where the group is going around the course
  • Think about the basics- what is the weather doing that day?

This will help deliver you your perfect golf trade. I hope you find this useful and good luck in trading on the US master starting this weekend!

Interested in the perfect golf trade? Watch the video linked here:

The post My TOP 5 betting & trading tips for the US Masters! appeared first on Betfair trading blog | Expert advice from Professional Betfair trade.